Teaming up with... AVIVA

Welcome to the UKGI weekly regulation update service for Aviva ABC brokers

We hope you find the Updates useful. If you are
interested in subscribing to our affordable
ABC compliance support package, please
email us at ABC@ukgigroup.com or
call UKGI on our dedicated ABC
contact line 01925 767893.

FSCS publishes its latest Outlook – Spring forecast 2026

Link(s):          
FSCS spring forecast sets levy at £247m for 2026/27 | FSCS
Chief Executive’s statement – May 2026 Outlook | FSCS
Outlook May 2026 | FSCS
FSCS Outlook May 2026

Context

FSCS has announced the publication of its May 2026 ‘Spring’ Outlook, which is accompanies by a statement from Martin Beauchamp, the FSCS Chief Executive.  The forecast sets the FSCS levy at £247m for 2026/27, the levy being the total amount payable by firms.  This figure is £95m lower than the November 2025 forecast.

Key points to note

  • In 2025/26 FSCS recovered £34m from the estates of failed firms and relevant third parties, with performance in 2025/26 exceeding the annual average for the previous five years. These recoveries help offset the levy paid by financial services firms.
  • FSCS expects to pay £267m in compensation to customers during 2026/27.  This is £27m lower than the early forecast set out in our November 2025 Outlook.
  • The 2026/27 levy forecast also reflects higher surpluses carried forward from the previous year. This was driven in part by:
    • A shift towards higher volumes of lower-value advice claims, alongside fewer higher-value pensions and SIPP operator claims;
    • A higher proportion of Section 27 claims where no compensation has been due;
    • Credit union failures remaining steady, however with fewer affected members resulting in lower-than-expected compensation costs; and
    • Lower insurance costs from historic failures.
  • Taken together, these factors, alongside strong recoveries and continued cost-efficiency, have contributed to the levy now expected to be £95m lower than the FSCS November forecast.
  • The levy for the General Insurance Provision class has decreased from £113m to £88m. No new firm failures are currently expected in this class in 2026/27.  The reduction in the forecast levy is partly driven by a higher opening balance. FSCS anticipates lower costs from historic failures as the scheme continues to progress outstanding claims from legacy insurance estates.
  • There remains no requirement for firms in this class to pay provider contributions to the General Insurance Distribution class in 2026/27.
  • In his statement, Beauchamp discusses his reflections on 2025/26, ‘Readiness, resilience and confidence’, and looking ahead to 2026/27.